Dr. Ravi Rannan-Eliya is not a familiar name to Sinhala readers (Sri Lanka Latest News) but his name is very popular among English readers. The reason is because he publishes his opinion polls or polls in the English media targeting Sri Lankan embassies, businessmen, court judges and lawyers. He is the Executive Director of an organization called Health Policy.
He conducts opinion polls from this health policy institute. It’s not about public health, it’s about politicians’ health. He polls once a month to see who will win the next election. He selects a sample of about 1000 for that. Out of these 1000, the employees of his company ask whether you like Anurata, Sajith, Ranil or Pohottutu. According to their answers, he says that he can tell the opinion of two million people.
In January 2022, queues began to form in front of Sri Lankan petrol sheds and milk powder stalls. By January 2022, people were starting to feel the lack of goods. And the price of goods could not be raised. By January, Gota couldn’t find anyone who said he was good. Thousands of lives were destroyed by the Corona wave, people lost their jobs, the country was crippled by the lockdowns and the country was paralyzed.
By January 2022, Gota was unpopular. His opinion polls show that Gotabaya was in a good popular spot by the first quarter of 2022. His report says that Gotabhaya’s popularity collapsed after April 2022. The struggle started in April. Doctor’s reports are not enough to say that Gota’s popularity collapsed. The country saw it.
He should have said in January 2022 that Gota’s popularity would collapse if Doctor’s opinion polls had a good response. But his report means that Gota’s popularity was positive in the first quarter of 2020, even though it decreased slightly. It is not acceptable. He may have been afraid to say that Gota’s popularity is declining in his public opinion survey report in an environment where no one thinks that Gota can be removed from power in the first quarter of 2022.
Gota went home and when Ranil became president, he showed a new theory in his poll report. That means that JVP and Samagi Jana Balawega are side by side, and Ranil’s UNP is ahead of the bud. After that little by little, The Samagi Jana Balavegaya was pulled back in front of JVP and he said that Ranil Pohottuwa will come forward.
Looking at a sample of 1000, Dr. Ravi Rannan Eliya’s theory matches Ranil’s theory of postponing local government elections and the theory of winning the presidential election like a ball of thread to a needle. Ranil told the international community that JVP will win as the reason for postponing local government elections, and if JVP wins IMF, deal will be disrupted and the country will fall under the grip of China.
For that, he will show Europe the doctor’s opinion survey report to the United States, which asked to hold local government elections. Doctor’s report should also be used by Ranil to get Pohottu candidature when he was afraid that JVP would come to power. This should be the doctor’s report that I am ahead of the bud and that I use it to drop the bud. Ranil’s theory that no one can get 50% in the presidential election fits well with Doctor’s opinion survey report.
The political theory that Ranil divides into four is as follows.
‘JVP is coming.’
‘ people like me more than the bud’
‘No one can get 50% in the presidential election’
Dr. Ravi Rannan Eliya’s opinion poll report is based on a sample of 1000.
‘JVP ahead…’
Ranil ‘Ahead of Pohottuwa…’
‘Neither Anur or Sajith have 50%…’
A separate survey should be done to find out how Ranil’s theory and Doctor’s opinion poll theory merged.